Abstract
Historically, the sparseness of in situ open-ocean wave and weather
observations has severely limited the forecast skill of weather over the
ocean with major social and economic consequences for coastal
communities and maritime industries. Ocean surface waves, specifically,
are important for the interaction between atmosphere and ocean, and thus
key in modeling weather and climate processes. Here, we investigate the
improvements achievable from a large distributed sensor network combined
with advances in assimilation strategies. Wave spectra from a global
network of over 600 Sofar Spotter buoys are assimilated into an
operational global wave forecast via optimal interpolation to update
model spectra to best fit observations. We demonstrate end-to-end
improvements in forecast skill of significant wave height of
38\%, and up to 45\% for other bulk
parameters. This shows distributed observations of the air-sea
interface, with advances in assimilation strategies, can reduce
uncertainty in forecasts to dramatically improve earth system modeling.