Jakob Deutloff

and 3 more

The new capabilities of global storm-resolving models to resolve individual clouds allow for a more physical perspective on the tropical high-cloud radiative effect and how it might change with warming. In this study, we develop a conceptual model of the high-cloud radiative effect as a function of cloud thickness measured by ice water path. We use atmospheric profiles from a global ICON simulation with 5 km horizontal grid spacing to calculate the radiation offline with the ARTS line-by-line radiative transfer model. The conceptual model of the high-cloud radiative effect reveals that it is sufficient to approximate high clouds as a single layer characterised by an albedo, emissivity and temperature, which vary with ice water path. The increase of the short-wave high-cloud radiative effect with ice water path is solely explained by the high-cloud albedo. The increase of the long-wave high-cloud radiative effect with ice water path is governed by an increase of emissivity for ice water path below 10-1 kg m-2, and by a decrease of high-cloud temperature with increasing ice water path above this threshold. The total high-cloud radiative effect from the ARTS simulations for the chosen day of this ICON model run is 2.59 W m-2, which is closely matched by our conceptual model with 2.56 W m-2. Because the high-cloud radiative effect depends on the assumed radiative alternative, assumptions on low clouds make a substantial difference. The conceptual model predicts that doubling the fraction of low clouds causes a doubling of the high-cloud radiative effect.

Robert Pincus

and 11 more

Changes in the concentration of greenhouse gases within the atmosphere lead to changes in radiative fluxes throughout the atmosphere. The value of this change, called the instantaneous radiative forcing, varies across climate models, due partly to differences in the distribution of clouds, humidity, and temperature across models, and partly due to errors introduced by approximate treatments of radiative transfer. This paper describes an experiment within the Radiative Forcing Model Intercomparision Project that uses benchmark calculations made with line-by-line models to identify parameterization error in the representation of absorption and emission by greenhouse gases. The clear-sky instantaneous forcing by greenhouse gases to which the world has been subject is computed using a set of 100 profiles, selected from a re-analysis of present-day conditions, that represent the global annual mean forcing with sampling errors of less than 0.01 \si{\watt\per\square\meter}. Six contributing line-by-line models agree in their estimate of this forcing to within 0.025 \si{\watt\per\square\meter} while even recently-developed parameterizations have typical errors four or more times larger, suggesting both that the samples reveal true differences among line-by-line models and that parameterization error will be readily resolved. Agreement among line-by-line models is better in the longwave than in the shortwave where differing treatments of the water vapor vapor continuum affect estimates of forcing by carbon dioxide and methane. The impacts of clouds on instantaneous radiative forcing are roughly estimated, as are adjustments due to stratospheric temperature change. Adjustments are large only for ozone and for carbon dioxide, for which stratospheric cooling introduces modest non-linearity.