Liam MacNeil

and 1 more

Biogeographical partitioning of ecological communities has been renewed in recent decades to illustrate broad distributional patterns. In the oceans, observational datasets have grown substantially and open new access to test bioregional patterns beyond the classical fixed thresholds of endemism to differentiate regions. This work combines a recently collated dataset of 29 different scientific bottom trawl surveys spanning 21 years with network-based clustering to illustrate biogeographical partitions of vast tracts of the northern hemisphere’s continental shelf seas. Our work contributes to testing bioregionalization patterns in demersal fishes using observational data, totaling >2.5 million species records and >2000 species, with bipartite network clustering weighted by species occurrence frequencies. We propose eight major bioregions across shelf seas which fall along the longest geographical axis in each shelf region and against continua of species richness gradients, endemicity, and phylogenetic turnover rates. These patterns capture known biogeographical boundaries (e.g., North Sea–Baltic Sea, Cape Hatteras) alongside potential transition areas deduced from uncertainty estimates based on shared network nodes between bioregions. The most species-rich areas include the Southeast US Shelf, Temperate Pacific, Northeast Atlantic Shelf, and the Outer European Shelf— corresponding to relatively high endemicity. However, the relatively species-poor partitions including the Baltic Sea and the North & Celtic Seas display comparatively low endemicity (<8%), illustrating apparent statistical differences in partitions captured by bipartite networks and occurrence frequencies that would otherwise be missed using a fixed endemic criterion. Our proposed bioregionalization can be compared against the growing availability of species occurrence data, dispersal limitations, or other quantitative observations of ecological communities.

Liam MacNeil

and 3 more

Aim: The range and biomass distribution of marine fish species offer insights into their underlying niches. Quantitative data are rare compared to occurrences and remain underused in species distribution models (SDMs) to explore patterns of realized niches– the actual space occupied by a species shaped by abiotic and biotic factors. Local densities drive differences in species contributions to ecological processes and ecosystem function rather than through presence alone, thus if a species growth rate is strongly controlled by macro-environmental conditions, then predicting geographical abundance or densities should be possible. Location: Baltic Sea Methods: We collated twenty years of standardized scientific bottom trawl surveys to fit an ensemble of SDMs to biomass (kg km-2) of four dominant demersal species (Common dab, European flounder, European plaice, Atlantic cod) within seasonal (winter and autumn) and decadal (2001-2010; 2011-2020) time windows. Covariates were represented with high-resolution oceanographic and habitat variables. Final prediction maps for each species were produced by weighted ensemble averages. Results: This work shows four distinct cases of spatiotemporal patterns. 1) Relative stasis in dab that is linked to the macro-environmental salinity gradient in the western Baltic Sea. 2) Flounder biomass showed spatial seasonality alongside increasing trends in the western Baltic Sea and declines in Bornholm Basin deeps. 3) Plaice have broadly increased in biomass density throughout the western Baltic Sea towards present, associated with bottom salinity and temperature. 4) Both juvenile and adult cod (≥35 cm) declined in biomass and distribution, greatest among juvenile cod in the Gdańsk deeps and for adult cod in Bornholm Basin by 2011-2020. Main Conclusions: This study maps biomass of the dominant Baltic Sea demersal fish, including seasonally-explicit patterns available from survey data. The biogeographic patterns described here expand beyond common occurrence data and suitability maps, which rarely discriminate between areas of high and low abundance.