A Century Of Reforestation Reduced Anthropogenic Warming in the Eastern
United States
Abstract
Restoring and preventing losses of the world’s forests are promising
natural pathways to mitigate climate change. In addition to regulating
atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations, forests modify surface and
near-surface air temperatures through biophysical processes. In the
eastern United States (EUS), widespread reforestation during the 20th
century coincided with an anomalous lack of warming, raising the
question of whether reforestation contributed to biophysical cooling and
slowed local climate change. Using new cross-scale approaches and
multiple independent sources of data, our analysis uncovered links
between reforestation and the response of both surface and air
temperature in the EUS. Ground- and satellite-based observations showed
that EUS forests cool the land surface by 1-2 °C annually, with the
strongest cooling effect during midday in the growing season, when
cooling is 2 to 5 °C. Young forests aged 25-50 years have the strongest
cooling effect on surface temperature, which extends to the near-surface
air, with forests reducing midday air temperature by up to 1 °C. Our
analyses of historical land cover and air temperature trends showed that
the cooling benefits of reforestation extend across the landscape.
Locations predominantly surrounded by reforestation were up to 1 °C
cooler than neighboring locations that did not undergo land cover
change, and areas dominated by regrowing forests were associated with
cooling temperature trends in much of the EUS. Our work indicates that
reforestation contributed to the historically slow pace of warming in
the EUS, highlighting the potential for reforestation to provide local
climate adaptation benefits in temperate regions worldwide.