Increased atmospheric river frequency slowed the seasonal recovery of
Arctic sea ice in recent decades
Abstract
In recent decades, Arctic sea ice coverage experienced a drastic decline
in winter, when sea ice is expected to recover following the melting
season. Using observations and climate model simulations, we found a
robust frequency increase in atmospheric rivers (ARs, intense corridors
of moisture transport) over Barents-Kara Seas and the neighboring
central Arctic (ABK) in early winter. The extensive moisture carried by
more frequent ARs has intensified surface downward longwave radiation
and liquid rainfall, caused stronger melting of thin, fragile ice cover,
and slowed the seasonal recovery of sea ice, contributing to the sea ice
cover decline in ABK. A series of model ensemble experiments suggests
that, in addition to a uniform AR increase in response to anthropogenic
forcing, the contribution of tropical Pacific variability is
indispensable in the observed Arctic AR changes. These findings have
significant implications for understanding the rapidly changing Arctic
hydroclimate and the cryosphere.