Rainfall stable water isotope variability in coastal southwestern
Western Australia and its relationship to climate on multiple timescales
Abstract
The factors driving variability in rainfall stable water isotopes
(specifically δ¹⁸O and deuterium excess, d = δ²H - 8 δ¹⁸O) were studied
in a 13-year dataset of daily rainfall samples from coastal southwestern
Western Australia (SWWA). Backwards dispersion modelling, automatic
synoptic type classification, and a statistical model were used to
establish causes of variability on a daily scale; and predictions from
the model were aggregated to longer temporal scales to discover the
cause of variability on multiple timescales. Factors differ between δ¹⁸O
and d and differ according to temporal scale. Rainfall intensity, both
at the observation site and upwind, was most important for determining
δ¹⁸O and this relationship was robust across all time scales (daily,
seasonal, and interannual) as well as generalizing to a second
observation site. The sensitivity of δ¹⁸O to rainfall intensity makes
annual mean values particularly sensitive to the year’s largest events.
Projecting the rainfall intensity relationship back through ∼ 100 years
of precipitation observations can explain ∼ 0.2-0.4‰ shifts in rainfall
δ¹⁸O. Twentieth century speleothem records from the region exhibit
signals of a similar magnitude, indicating that rainfall intensity
should be taken into account during the interpretation of regional
climate archives. For d, humidity during evaporation from the ocean was
the most important driver of variability at the daily scale, as well as
explaining the seasonal cycle, but source humidity failed to explain the
longer-term interannual variability.