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Resolving the differences in the simulated and reconstructed temperature response to volcanism
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  • Feng Zhu,
  • Julien Emile-Geay,
  • Gregory J. Hakim,
  • Jonathan King,
  • Kevin John Anchukaitis
Feng Zhu
University of Southern California, University of Southern California

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Julien Emile-Geay
University of Southern California, University of Southern California
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Gregory J. Hakim
University of Washington, University of Washington
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Jonathan King
University of Arizona, University of Arizona
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Kevin John Anchukaitis
University of Arizona, University of Arizona
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Abstract

Explosive volcanism imposes impulse-like radiative forcing on the climate system, providing a natural experiment to study the climate response to perturbation. Previous studies have identified disagreements between paleoclimate reconstructions and climate model simulations (GCMs) with respect to the magnitude and recovery from volcanic cooling, questioning the fidelity of GCMs, reconstructions, or both. Using the paleoenvironmental data assimilation framework of the Last Millennium Reanalysis, this study investigates the causes of the disagreements, using both real and simulated data. We demonstrate that discrepancies since 1600 CE can be largely resolved by assimilating tree-ring density records only, targeting growing-season temperature instead of annual temperature, and performing the comparison at proxy locales. Simulations of eruptions earlier in the last millennium may also reflect uncertainties in forcing and modeled aerosol microphysics.
28 Apr 2020Published in Geophysical Research Letters volume 47 issue 8. 10.1029/2019GL086908