The Intrinsic 150-day Periodicity of the Southern Hemisphere
Extratropical Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation
Abstract
The variability of the Southern Hemisphere (SH) extratropical
large-scale circulation is dominated by the Southern Annular Mode (SAM),
whose timescale is extensively used as a key metric in evaluating
state-of-the-art climate models. Past observational and theoretical
studies suggest that the SAM lacks any internally generated (intrinsic)
periodicity. Here, we show, using observations and a climate model
hierarchy, that the SAM has an intrinsic 150-day periodicity. This
periodicity is robustly detectable in the power spectra and principal
oscillation patterns (aka dynamical mode decomposition) of the
zonal-mean circulation, and in hemispheric-scale precipitation and ocean
surface wind stress. The 150-day period is consistent with the
predictions of a new reduced-order model for the SAM, which suggests
that this periodicity is tied with a complex interaction of turbulent
eddies and zonal wind anomalies, as the latter propagate from low to
high latitudes. These findings present a rare example of periodic
oscillations arising from the internal dynamics of the extratropical
turbulent circulations. Based on these findings, we further propose a
new metric for evaluating climate models, and show that some of the
previously reported shortcomings and improvements in simulating SAM’s
variability connect to the models’ ability in reproducing this
periodicity. We argue that this periodicity should be considered in
evaluating climate models and understanding the past, current, and
projected Southern Hemisphere climate variability.