Alvaro Santamaría-Gómez
GET, Université de Toulouse, CNES, CNRS, IRD, UPS, Toulouse, France, GET, Université de Toulouse, CNES, CNRS, IRD, UPS, Toulouse, France
Corresponding Author:[email protected]
Author ProfileAbstract
It has been standard practice for about two decades to compute GPS-based
station velocity uncertainties using the apparent noise statistics of
the non-linear position residuals rather than assume white noise (WN)
behavior. The latter choice would yield unrealistic velocity
uncertainties. The most common noise types used are power-law, usually
close to flicker noise (FN), over most frequencies mixed with WN at the
shortest periods. The complicating impact of offsets in the position
time series, mostly caused by equipment changes or tectonic events, has
not been fully appreciated. These are far less benign than recently
suggested. In addition to contributing a pseudo-random walk noise (RW)
component to the velocity errors, estimating offset parameters changes
the apparent noise color towards whiter. Spectral power is effectively
drained by offsets at periods longer than roughly the mean span between
them. This consequently promotes a Gauss-Markov process as the
apparently preferred noise model and, importantly, obscures the presence
of RW and long-period Earth deformation in the series. Both effects can
lead to potentially under-estimated velocity uncertainties. The full
value of decadal-long GPS time series for geodynamical applications is
thereby greatly eroded by recurring offsets, especially when they occur
quasi-regularly. In addition, contrary to common assumption, the noise
color is generally not fixed with time, but clearly becomes whiter in
more recent data. The origin of the colored noise and its whitening over
time remain elusive.