Susan Anenberg

and 7 more

Background: Combustion-related nitrogen dioxide (NO2) air pollution is associated with pediatric asthma incidence. We estimated global surface NO2 concentrations consistent with the Global Burden of Disease Study for 1990-2019 at 1km resolution, and concentrations and attributable pediatric asthma incidence trends in 13,189 cities from 2000-2019. Methods: We scaled an existing surface annual average NO2 concentrations dataset for 2010-2012 from a land use regression model (based on 5,220 NO2 monitors in 58 countries and land use variables) to other years using NO2 column densities from satellite and reanalysis datasets. We applied these concentrations to epidemiologically-derived concentration-response factors, population, and baseline asthma rates to estimate NO2-attributable pediatric asthma incidence. Findings: We estimated that 1.85 million (95% uncertainty interval: 0.93 – 2.8 million) new pediatric asthma cases were attributable to NO2 globally in 2019, two-thirds of which occurred in urban areas. The fraction of pediatric asthma incidence that is attributable to NO2 in urban areas declined from 20% in 2000 to 16% in 2019. Urban attributable fractions dropped in High-income (-41%), Latin America/Caribbean (-16%), Central Europe, Eastern Europe, and Central Asia (-13%), and Southeast Asia, East Asia, and Oceania (-6%), and rose in South Asia (+23%), Sub-Saharan Africa (+11%), and North Africa and Middle East (+5%) regions. The importance of NO2 concentrations, pediatric population size, and asthma incidence rates in driving these changes differs regionally. Interpretation: Despite improvements in some regions, combustion-related NO2 pollution continues to be an important contributor to pediatric asthma incidence globally, particularly in cities. Funding: Health Effects Institute, NASA

Daniel L. Goldberg

and 4 more

Observing the spatial heterogeneities of NO2 air pollution is an important first step in quantifying NOx emissions and exposures. This study investigates the capabilities of the Tropospheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI) in observing the spatial and temporal patterns of NO2 pollution in the Continental United States (CONUS).  The high instrument sensitivity can differentiate the fine-scale spatial heterogeneities in urban areas, such as hotspots related to airport/shipping operations and high traffic areas, and the relatively small emission sources in rural areas, such as power plants and mining operations. We also examine NO2 columns by day-of-the-week and find that Saturday and Sunday concentrations are 16% and 24% lower respectively than during weekdays.  In cities with topographic features that inhibit dispersion, such as Los Angeles, there appears to be a pollution build-up from Monday through Friday, while cities which have better dispersion have more variability during weekdays. We also analyze the correlation of temperatures and NO2 column amounts and find that NO2 is larger on the hottest days (>32C) as compared to warm days (26C - 32C), which is in contrast to a general decrease in NO2 with increasing temperature at lower temperature bins. Finally, we compare column NO2 with estimates of surface PM2.5 and find fairly poor correlation, suggesting that NO2 and PM2.5 are becoming increasingly less correlated in CONUS. These new developments make TROPOMI NO2 satellite data advantageous for policymakers and public health officials, who request information at high spatial resolution and short timescales, in order to assess, devise, and evaluate regulations.