Abstract
Soil moisture is important for sub-seasonal and seasonal climate
prediction. However, biases and uncertainties of soil moisture in
climate models affect the accuracy of climate prediction. Here we
evaluate biases in climate model soil moisture across different time
scales in the frequency domain. Based on our findings, compared to
observations, soil moisture variability in the models is found to be
underestimated at frequencies smaller than the seasonal time scale and
overestimated at frequencies larger than the seasonal time scale. In
addition, for the total effect of evapotranspiration and precipitation
variability on soil moisture, models also underestimate frequencies
smaller than the seasonal time scale and overestimate frequencies larger
than it. Furthermore, no matter which factor (evapotranspiration or
precipitation) is most affecting soil moisture, models underestimate its
effect on soil moisture in the corresponding frequency range. Finally,
at a global scale, biases in climate models can be related to the mean
climate and not to soil properties. This study provides new insights
into climate models deficiencies, and contributes to a better
understanding of soil moisture and climate.