Explicit calculations of Wet Bulb Globe Temperature compared with
approximations and why it matters for labor productivity
Abstract
Wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) is a widely applied heat stress index.
However, most applications of WBGT within the heat stress impacts
literature do not use WBGT at all, but one of the ad hoc approximations,
typically the simplified WBGT (sWBGT) or the environmental stress index
(ESI). Surprisingly little is known about how well these approximations
work for the global climate and climate change settings that they are
being applied to. Here we assess the bias distribution as a function of
temperature, humidity, wind speed and radiative conditions of both sWBGT
and ESI relative to a well-validated, explicit physical model for WBGT
developed by Liljegren, within an idealized context and the more
realistic setting of ERA5 reanalysis data. sWBGT greatly overestimates
heat stress in hot-humid areas. ESI has much smaller biases in the range
of standard climatological conditions. However, both metrics may
substantially underestimate extreme heat especially over subtropical dry
regions. These systematic biases demonstrate that sWBGT-derived
estimates of heat stress and its health and labor consequences are
significantly overestimated over much of the world today. We recommend
discontinuing the use of sWBGT. ESI may be acceptable for assessing
average heat stress or integrated impact over a long period like a year,
but less suitable for health applications, extreme heat stress analysis,
or as an operational index for heat warning, heatwave forecasting or
guiding activity modification at workplace. Nevertheless, Liljegren’s
approach should be preferred over these ad hoc approximations and we
provide a Python implementation to encourage its widespread use.