Abstract
In the context of climate change, a clear understanding of the processes
and factors driving global warming is a major concern. During past
geological times, Earth suffered several intervals of global warmth but
the priming factors remain equivocal. Yet a careful appraisal of all
processes being implied during those past events is essential to
evaluate how they can inform future climates, in order to provide
decision makers a clear understanding of the processes at play in a
warmer world. In this context, the global warmth of the Cretaceous era,
specifically during the Cenomanian-Turonian, is of particular interest.
Here we use the IPSL-CM5A2 Earth System model to unravel the forcing
parameters of the Cenomanian-Turonian greenhouse climate. We perform six
simulations, from the preindustrial to the Cretaceous by implementing
one additional boundary condition change at a time, i.e. (1) polar ice
cap retreat, (2) pCO2 increase to 1120 ppm, (3) vegetation and soil
parameters, (4) solar constant reduction (~ -1%) and
(5) paleogeography (90Ma). Between the first preindustrial simulation
and the last Cretaceous simulation, a global warming of more than 11°C
is simulated. Most of this warming is driven by the increase in pCO2 to
1120 ppm. Paleogeographic changes represent the second major contributor
to the warming while the solar constant reduction counteracts most of
this geographically-driven warming. Finally, changes in vegetation and
soil parameters as well as the retreat of polar ice caps have a minor
impact at the global scale. A full assessment of the processes driving
warming or cooling under each boundary condition change will be
presented. Ultimately, our work supports the overarching influence of
atmospheric carbon dioxide in driving the Earth’s global climate and
global warming.