Observations and mechanisms of distant and deep injection induced
earthquakes in California and Oklahoma hydrocarbon basins
Abstract
The complexity of induced seismicity mechanisms significantly hampers
seismic hazard assessment around injection wells. The largest magnitude
events are commonly thought to be controlled by the size of the
injection-affected area, but what controls the size of this area and
what is the role of the regional geologic setting? Here we explore
observations of deep and distant induced earthquakes in Oklahoma and
California. Despite wide-spread injection close to seismically active
faults, fluid injection-induced seismicity is comparably rare in
California hydrocarbon basins. We identified a potential case of
injection-induced earthquakes associated with San Ardo oilfield
operations, with the largest events occurring in 1955 (ML5.2) and 1985
(Mw4.5) within ∼6 km from the oilfield. We performed an interferometric
analysis of SAR images acquired by Sentinel-1A/B satellites between 2016
and 2020, and find surface deformation of up to 1.5 cm/yr, indicating
pressure-imbalance in parts of the oilfield. Temporal correlations are
observed over more than 40 years, with correlation coefficients of up to
0.71 for seismicity within 24 km of the oilfield. Such large distances
have not previously been observed in California but are similar to the
large spatial footprint of injection in Oklahoma. The San Ardo
seismicity shows anomalous clustering with earthquakes consistently
occurring at close spatial proximity but long inter-event times,
analogous to induced earthquakes in geothermal reservoirs. The
complexity of seismic behavior at San Ardo indicates that multiple
processes, such as elastic stress transfer and aseismic slip transients,
contribute to the potentially induced earthquakes. The observed
power-law distance decay of induced events from the reservoir is in line
with observations of stress decay from poroelastic models in which
basement faults may be hydraulically isolated from the injection zone.
Our model’s resolved fluid/solid stress interactions suggest that
shallow injection can 1) activate deep basement faults and 2) lead to
spatially extensive induced earthquake sequences. Both of these
observations may significantly elevate the seismic hazard associated
with fluid injection operations.