A Spatially Variable Time Series of Sea Level Change Due to Artificial
Water Impoundment
Abstract
The artificial impoundment of water behind dams causes global mean sea
level (GMSL) to fall as reservoirs fill, but also generates a local rise
in sea level due to the increased mass in the reservoir and the crustal
deformation this mass induces. To estimate spatiotemporal fluctuations
in sea level due to water impoundment, we use a historical data set that
includes 6,329 reservoirs completed between 1900 and 2011, as well as
projections of 3,565 reservoirs that are expected to be completed by
2040. The GMSL change associated with the historical data (–0.2 mm yr-1
from 1900 – 2011) is consistent with previous studies, but the temporal
and spatial resolution allows for local studies that were not previously
possible, revealing that some locations experience a sea level rise of
as much as 40 mm over less than a decade. Future construction of
reservoirs through ~2040 is projected to cause a GMSL
fall whose rate is comparable to that of the last century (–0.3 mm
yr-1), but with a geographic distribution that will be distinct from the
last century, including a rise in sea level in more coastal areas. The
analysis of expected construction shows that significant impoundment
near coastal communities in the coming decades could enhance the
flooding risk already heightened by global sea level rise.