Abstract
Tropical cyclones (TCs) and their economic cost risk under climate
change are significant concerns globally. Previous studies on TC damage
functions and risk assessment are mostly performed based on modeling
TC-level damage and thus obtaining the annual average loss for a country
or region. The scalability of these damage functions at finer scales has
been less systematically explored. In this study, we examine how the
model structure, estimated parameters, and model performance of TC
damage functions vary with spatial scale. The comparisons are
illustrated by fitting two types of damage functions based on reported
damage data at the county, province, and TC scales. We find that the
newly proposed precipitation-calibrated sigmoidal damage function
significantly outperforms the wind-calibrated sigmoidal damage function
at three scales of county, province and TC event. Another type of
power-law damage function that integrates hazard, exposure, and
vulnerability complements the typical sigmoidal damage function because
it yields a better fit when estimating direct economic loss above the
province scale. Our work provides an empirical assessment of the role of
spatial scale and damage function in TC economic impact evaluation and
demonstrates the importance of spatially scale-specific policy-making in
TC risk management and climate adaptation strategies.