Process-based climate model development harnessing machine learning: II.
model calibration from single column to global
- Frédéric Hourdin,
- Danny Williamson,
- Catherine Rio,
- Fleur Couvreux,
- Romain Roehrig,
- Najda Villefranque,
- Ionela Musat,
- Fatoumata Bint Diallo,
- Laurent Fairhead,
- Victoria Volodina
Catherine Rio
Centre national des recherches météorologiques (CNRM), Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS
Author ProfileFleur Couvreux
Université Toulouse, CNRM, Meteo-France, CNRS
Author ProfileRomain Roehrig
CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS
Author ProfileNajda Villefranque
Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques
Author ProfileFatoumata Bint Diallo
Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique
Author ProfileAbstract
We demonstrate a new approach for climate model tuning in a realistic
situation. Our approach, described in detail in Part I, systematically
uses a single-column configuration of a global atmospheric model on a
series of test cases for which reference large-eddy-simulations are
available. The space of free parameters is sampled running the
single-column model from which metrics are estimated in the full
parameter space using emulators. The parameter space is then reduced by
retaining only the values that are consistent with the metrics computed
on large eddy simulations within a given tolerance to error. The
approach is applied to the recently designed 6A version of the LMDZ
model, itself the result of a long investment in the development of
physics parameterizations and by-hand tuning. The boundary layer is
revisited by increasing the vertical resolution and varying parameters
that were kept fixed so far. The approach allows us to automatically
reach a tuning as good as that of the 6A version, after some
improvements are done at process scale. This approach helps accelerate
the introduction of new parameterizations, by avoiding a tedious manual
tuning process and preventing some of the error compensations that could
occur if calibration was carried out directly with the full atmospheric
model. This way of using machine learning techniques allows us to
maintain the physical foundations of the model and to ensure that the
improvement of global metrics is obtained for a reasonable behavior at
process level. That is, we get things right for the right reasons.Jun 2021Published in Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems volume 13 issue 6. 10.1029/2020MS002225