A robust estimate of continental-scale terrestrial carbon sinks using
GOSAT XCO2 retrievals
Abstract
Satellite XCO2 retrievals could improve the estimates of
surface carbon fluxes, but it remains unknow on what scales these
estimates are robust. Here, we use the time-dependent Bayesian synthesis
top-down method and prior net ecosystem exchanges (NEEs) from 12
terrestrial biosphere models (TBMs) to infer the monthly carbon fluxes
of 51 land regions with constraints by GOSAT XCO2
retrievals. We find that the uncertainty (standard deviation of 12 TBMs)
reduction rates (URR) decrease significantly at decreasing spatial
scales. On the continental-scale, the mean URR is about 60%, and the
annual and seasonal cycle estimates of NEE are rather robust. The
evaluation shows that the posterior CO2 concentrations
are significantly improved at the continental scale. Our study suggests
that the GOSAT XCO2 can only promise a robust
continental-scale NEE estimate, and improving the XCO2
accuracy is an effective way to achieve robust estimates on smaller
scales under current spatial coverage.