François Lemot

and 10 more

The Xianshuihe fault, located in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau, stands as one of the most active faults in China. As assessing earthquake hazard relies on access to long-term paleoseismological archives, this paper seeks to optimize the interpretation of paleoseismological records. We developed a code that evaluates the plausibility of rupture scenarios against sedimentary evidence from nine cores in three lakes over a 30 km fault segment. Earthquake-related deposits were identified through grain-size analysis, XRF core scanning, and SEM observations of thin sections. Age models based on short-lived radionuclides correlate these events with historical earthquakes, which are recorded with varying sensitivities to seismic intensity across the three lakes. Each site is then used as a binary paleoseismometer, indicating whether or not an earthquake reached a local intensity threshold. The combined evidence allows to evaluate rupture scenarios on the Xianshuihe fault, according to rupture length-magnitude scaling laws and intensity prediction equations. The most probable scenarios allow to discriminate the rupture area and magnitude range providing a good agreement with historical reconstructions. Our work demonstrates the potential of combining earthquake records to infer the magnitude and rupture zone of paleo-earthquakes, even with a limited dataset. Our approach, applicable across diverse geological settings and timescales, offers enhanced precision in understanding long-term paleoseismology covering multiple earthquake cycles. However, establishing the synchronicity of events in such an active area—where earthquake return times are typically < 100 years—demands highly accurate age models, which remains challenging.

Renaldo Gastineau

and 9 more

William Rapuc

and 10 more

Few of the large Southern peri-alpine lakes have been studied with a sedimentological approach in their deep basin to understand the dynamics of their long-term sedimentation due, among other factors, to the high complexity of the coring in such deep lakes. In 2018, a 15.5 m-long sediment section was retrieved from the deep basin of Lake Iseo (Italy) at 251 m of water depth. Seismic survey associated to a multi-proxy approach with sedimentological and geochemical analyses, reveals a high number of event layers that corresponds to 61.4 % of the total sedimentation during the last 2000 years. The great heterogeneity of textures, colours, and grain-size distribution between the different types of event layers can be explained by the high number of potential sources of sediment inputs in this large lake system. By combining proxies for sediment source with transport processes, we were able to distinguish: i) flood events, and ii) destabilisations of slopes and deltas due to an increase of the sediment load and/or to seismic shaking. From a thorough comparison with both, the regional climatic fluctuations, and the human activity in the watershed, it appears that periods of high sediment remobilization can be linked to a previous increase in Critical Zone erosion in the watershed mainly under human forcing. Hence, even in large catchments, human activities play a key role on erosion processes and on sediment availability, disrupting the recording of the Critical Zone functioning in such lacustrine archive.