Understanding Southern Ocean Cloud Controlling Factors on Daily
Timescales in the Context of Extratropical Cyclones
Abstract
Clouds and their associated radiative effects are a large source of
uncertainty in global climate models. One region with particularly large
model biases in cloud radiative effects (CRE) is the Southern Ocean.
Previous research has shown that there are many dynamic “cloud
controlling factors” that influence shortwave CRE, and that three
important cloud controlling factors over the Southern Ocean are
mid-tropospheric vertical velocity, surface thermal advection, and
Estimated Inversion Strength (EIS), which have been shown to influence
shortwave CRE on monthly timescales. Model errors may thus arise from
biases in representing cloud controlling factors (atmospheric dynamics),
in representing how clouds respond to those cloud controlling factors
(cloud parameterizations), or some combination thereof. This study
extends previous work by examining cloud controlling factors over the
Southern Ocean on daily timescales in both observations and global
climate models. This allows the cloud controlling factors to be examined
in the context of transient weather systems, such as extratropical
cyclones, and in the context of high pressure quiescent scenes.
Composites of EIS and mid-tropospheric vertical velocity are constructed
around extratropical cyclones to examine how the different dynamic cloud
controlling factors influence shortwave CRE around the cyclone and how
similar the model cyclones are to observations. On average, models tend
to produce a realistic cyclone, when compared to observations, in terms
of the dynamic cloud controlling factors. The difference between
observations and models instead lies in how the models’ shortwave CRE
responds to the cyclone dynamics. In particular, the models’ cloud
radiative effects are too sensitive to perturbations in mid-tropospheric
vertical velocity and, as a result, they tend to produce clouds that are
too bright in the cold frontal region of the cyclone and too dim in the
center of high pressure systems.