Nature of Deep Earthquakes in the Pacific Plate from Unsupervised
Machine Learning
Abstract
Deep earthquakes, 300 to 700 km deep, have been observed for decades and
shown to originate from major mineral transformations occurring at these
depths, including phase transitions of olivine and pyroxenes. Yet, we
still do not fully grasp their mechanism. Although transformational
faulting in the rim of the metastable olivine wedge (MOW) is
hypothesized as a triggering mechanism of deep-focus earthquakes, there
is no direct seismic evidence of such rim. Variations of b-value –
slope of the Gutenberg-Richter distribution – have been used to
decipher triggering and rupture mechanisms of earthquakes. However,
regarding deep-focus earthquakes the detection limit prevents full
understanding of rupture nucleation at all sizes. With one of the most
complete catalogs, the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) catalog, we
estimate the b values of deep-focus earthquakes (> 300 km)
of four clusters in the NW Pacific Plate based on unsupervised machine
learning. The applied K-means algorithm divides the events into four
clusters. For the first time, we observe kinks in the b values with
abrupt reductions from 1.5–1.8 down to 0.7–1.0 at a threshold Mw of
3.7–3.8 for the Honshu and Izu clusters, while normal constant b values
(0.9–1.0) are observed for the Bonin and Kuril clusters. The four
clusters found by the algorithm actually correspond to events within
four different segments of the sinking Pacific lithosphere,
characterized by significant differences in hydration state prior to
subduction. High b values (1.5–1.8) at low magnitudes (Mw <
3.7–3.8) correlate with highly hydrated slab portions. The hydrous
defects would enhance the nucleation of small earthquakes via
transformational faulting within the rim. Such mechanism operates for
small events with a rupture length of less than 1 km, which would
correspond to the thickness of the MOW rim. Combining with the b-value
analysis from the latest CMT catalog, the kink at Mw 6.7 suggests that
the thermal runaway mechanism operates for larger earthquakes rupturing
through and possibly propagating outside the MOW, with increased
heterogeneity in the new rupture domain. The changes of controlling
mechanism and rupture domain heterogeneity due to the slab hydrous state
and thermal state can explain the spatially varying b values.