4D-Var data assimilation using an adjoint model of a neural network
surrogate model
Abstract
Four-dimensional variational (4D-Var) data assimilation is an effective
method for obtaining physically consistent time-varying states. In this
study, a method using a neural network surrogate model obtained by
machine learning is proposed to solve one of the most serious challenges
in 4D-Var: to construct an adjoint model. The feasibility of the
proposed method was demonstrated by a 4D-Var experiment using a
surrogate model for the Lorenz 96 model. In the method, several
effective procedures have been proposed to obtain an accurate surrogate
model and the assimilated initial conditions, including two-stage
learning (i.e., single- and multi-step learning) of neural networks,
limiting the target states of the surrogate model to a small subspace of
the state phase space, and updating the surrogate model during 4D-Var
iterations.