Diurnal Cycle of Precipitation in the Amazon: Contrasting
Observationally Constrained Cloud-System Resolving and Global Climate
Models
Abstract
The ability of an observationally-constrained cloud-system resolving
model (Weather Research and Forecasting; WRF, 4-km grid spacing) and a
global climate model (Energy Exascale Earth System Model; E3SM, 1-degree
grid spacing) to represent the precipitation diurnal cycle over the
Amazon basin during the 2014 wet season is assessed. The month-long
period is divided into days with and without the presence of observed
propagating mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) over the central Amazon.
The MCSs are strongly associated with rain amounts over the basin and
also control the observed spatial variability of the diurnal rain rate.
WRF model coupled with a 3-D variational data assimilation scheme
reproduces the spatial variability of the precipitation diurnal cycle
over the basin and the lifecycle of westward propagating MCSs initiated
by the coastal sea-breeze front. In contrast, a single morning peak in
rainfall is produced by E3SM for simulations with and without nudging
the large-scale winds towards global reanalysis, indicating
precipitation in E3SM is largely controlled by local convection
associated with diurnal heating. Both models produce contrast in
easterly wind profiles between days with and without MCS that are
similar to data collected by U.S. DOE Atmospheric Radiation Measurement
(ARM) facility during the Green Ocean Amazon (GoAmazon2014/5) campaign
and other operational radiosondes. A multivariate perturbation analysis
indicates the dryness of low-level air transported from ocean to inland
has higher impact on the formation and maintenance of MCS in the Amazon
than other processes.