Diapycnal mixing in the ocean interior is largely fueled by internal tides. Mixing schemes that represent the breaking of internal tides are now routinely included in ocean and earth system models applied to the modern and future. However, this is more rarely the case in climate simulations of deep-time intervals of the Earth, for which estimates of the energy dissipated by the tides are not always available. Here, we present and analyze two IPSL-CM5A2 earth system model simulations of the Early Eocene made under the framework of DeepMIP. One simulation includes mixing by locally dissipating internal tides, while the other does not. We show how the inclusion of tidal mixing alters the shape of the deep ocean circulation, and thereby of large-scale biogeochemical patterns, in particular dioxygen distributions. In our simulations, the absence of tidal mixing leads to a deep North Atlantic basin mostly disconnected from the global ocean circulation, which promotes the development of a basin-scale pool of oxygen-deficient waters, at the limit of complete anoxia. The absence of large-scale anoxic records in the deep ocean posterior to the Cretaceous anoxic events suggests that such an ocean state most likely did not occur at any time across the Paleogene. This highlights how crucial it is for climate models applied to the deep-time to integrate the spatial variability of tidally-driven mixing as well as the potential of using biogeochemical models to exclude aberrant dynamical model states for which direct proxies do not exist.

Barbara Goudsmit

and 19 more

Our current understanding of global mean near-surface (land and sea) air temperature (GMSAT) during the Cenozoic era relies on paleo-proxy estimates of deep-sea temperature combined with assumed relationships between global mean deep-sea temperature (GMDST), global mean sea-surface temperature (GMSST), and GMSAT. The validity of these assumptions is essential in our understanding of past climate states such as the Early Eocene Climate Optimum hothouse climate (EECO, 56–48 Ma). The EECO remains relevant today, because EECO-like CO2 levels are possible in the 22nd century under continued high CO2 emissions. We analyze the relationship between the three global temperature indicators for the EECO using 25 different millennia-long model simulations with varying CO2 levels from the Deep-Time Model Intercomparison Project (DeepMIP). The model simulations show limited spatial variability in deep-sea temperature, indicating that local temperature estimates can be regarded representative of GMDST. Linear regression analysis indicates that compared to GMSST, both GMDST and GMSAT respond more strongly to changes in atmospheric CO2 by factors of 1.18 and 1.17, respectively. Consequently, this model-based analysis validates the assumption that changes in GMDST can be used to estimate changes in GMSAT during the EECO. Paleo-proxies of GMDST, GMSST, and GMSAT during EECO show the best fit with model simulations having an atmospheric CO2 level of 1,680 ppm, which matches paleo-proxies of atmospheric CO2 during EECO. Similar analyses of other past climate states are needed to examine whether these results are robust throughout the Cenozoic, providing insight into the long-term future warming under various shared socioeconomic pathways.

Charles Williams

and 19 more

The early Eocene (~56-48 million years ago) is characterised by high CO2 estimates (1200-2500 ppmv) and elevated global temperatures (~10 to 16°C higher than modern). However, the response of the hydrological cycle during the early Eocene is poorly constrained, especially in regions with sparse data coverage (e.g. Africa). Here we present a study of African hydroclimate during the early Eocene, as simulated by an ensemble of state-of-the-art climate models in the Deep-time Model Intercomparison Project (DeepMIP). A comparison between the DeepMIP pre-industrial simulations and modern observations suggests that model biases are model- and geographically dependent, however these biases are reduced in the model ensemble mean. A comparison between the Eocene simulations and the pre-industrial suggests that there is no obvious wetting or drying trend as the CO2 increases. The results suggest that changes to the land sea mask (relative to modern) in the models may be responsible for the simulated increases in precipitation to the north of Eocene Africa, whereas it is likely that changes in vegetation in the models are responsible for the simulated region of drying over equatorial Eocene Africa. There is an increase in precipitation over equatorial and West Africa and associated drying over northern Africa as CO2 rises. There are also important dynamical changes, with evidence that anticyclonic low-level circulation is replaced by increased south-westerly flow at high CO2 levels. Lastly, a model-data comparison using newly-compiled quantitative climate estimates from palaeobotanical proxy data suggests a marginally better fit with the reconstructions at lower levels of CO2.

Marie Laugie

and 5 more

The Cenomanian-Turonian period recorded one of the largest disruptions to the oxygen and carbon cycles, the Oceanic Anoxic Event 2 (OAE2, 94 Ma). This event is global, yet paleo-reconstructions document heterogeneous ocean oxygenation states and sedimentary carbon contents, both temporally and spatially, suggesting that several mechanisms are at play. To better understand the long-term controls on oceanic oxygen and the initial oxygenation conditions prevailing at the beginning of OAE2, we perform numerical simulations of the Cenomanian using the IPSCL-CM5A2 Earth System Model, which includes a marine biogeochemistry component. We examine the control of the biogeochemical states of the global and Central Atlantic oceans by the depth of the Central American Seaway (CAS). The simulations show that a vigorous ocean circulation existed during the Cenomanian and that dysoxia/anoxia was caused by paleogeography rather than by ocean stagnation. The existence of restricted basins, disconnected from the deep global circulation and supplied with oxygen-depleted waters from Oxygen Minimum Zones of the surrounding basins, played a key role in the development of dysoxic/anoxic regions. A comparison with redox-proxy data suggests that a deep connection existed between the Pacific and Central Atlantic prior to OAE2. A shallowing of the CAS may have contributed to the establishment of enhanced anoxia in the Central Atlantic during OAE2. The paleogeographic configuration and that of gateways and submarine topographic barriers appear as major long-term controllers of the oceanic circulation and oxygen distribution, leading to low-oxygen concentrations in extended parts of the ocean as prerequisite conditions for OAEs to occur.

Margot Cramwinckel

and 21 more

Earth’s hydrological cycle is expected to intensify in response to global warming, with a ‘wet-gets-wetter, dry-gets-drier’ response anticipated. The subtropics (~15-30°N/S) are predicted to become drier, yet proxy evidence from past warm climates suggests these regions may be characterised by wetter conditions. Here we use an integrated data-modelling approach to reconstruct global- and regional-scale rainfall patterns during the early Eocene (~48-56 million years ago), with an emphasis on the subtropics. Model-derived precipitation–evaporation (P–E) estimates in the tropics (0-15° N/S) and high latitudes (>60° N/S) are positive and increase in response to higher temperatures, whereas model-derived P–E estimates in the subtropics (15-30° N/S) are negative and decrease in response to higher temperatures. This is consistent with a ‘wet-gets-wetter, dry-gets-drier’ response. However, some DeepMIP model simulations predict increasing – rather than decreasing – subtropical precipitation at higher temperatures (e.g., CESM, GFDL). Using moisture budget diagnostics we find that the models with higher subtropical precipitation are characterised by a reduction in the strength of subtropical moisture circulation due to weaker meridional temperature gradients. These model simulations (e.g., CESM, GFDL) agree more closely with various proxy-derived climate metrics and imply a reduction in the strength of subtropical moisture circulation during the early Eocene. Although this was insufficient to induce subtropical wetting, if the meridional temperature was weaker than suggested by the DeepMIP models, this may have led to wetter subtropics. This highlights the important role of the meridional temperature gradient when predicting past (and future) rainfall patterns.

Quentin PILLOT

and 4 more

Modern Ocean is characterized by the formation of deep-water in the North Atlantic (i.e. NADW). This feature has been attributed to the modern geography, in which the Atlantic Ocean is a large basin extending from northern polar latitudes to the Austral Ocean, the latter enabling the connection of the otherwise isolated Atlantic with the Pacific and Indian Oceans. Sedimentary data date the establishment of the NADW between the beginning of the Eocene (∼49 Ma) and the beginning of the Miocene (∼23 Ma). The objective of this study is to quantify the impact of Miocene geography on NADW through new simulations performed with the earth system model IPSL-CM5A2. We specifically focus on the closure of the eastern Tethys seaway (dated between 22 and 14 Ma), which allowed the connection between the Atlantic and Indian Oceans, and on the Greenland ice sheet, whose earliest onset remains open to discussion but for which evidence suggest a possible existence as early as the Eocene. Our results show that the closure of the eastern Tethys seaway does not appear to impact the establishment of NADW, because waters from the Indian Ocean do not reach the NADW formation zone when the seaway is open. Conversely, the existence of an ice sheet over Greenland strengthens the formation of NADW owing to topography induced changes in wind patterns over the North Atlantic, which in turn, results in a larger exchange of water fluxes between the Arctic and the North Atlantic, and in a re-localization of deep-water formation areas.