Operational soil moisture data assimilation for improved continental
water balance prediction
Abstract
A simple and efficient method was developed to improve soil moisture
representation in an operational water balance model through satellite
data assimilation. The proposed method exploits temporal covariance
statistics between modelled and satellite-derived soil moisture to
produce analysed estimates, as a weighted combination of all data
sources. We demonstrate the application of the method to the Australian
Water Resources Assessment (AWRA) model and evaluate the accuracy of the
approach against in-situ observations across the water balance. The
correlation between simulated surface soil moisture and in-situ
observation is increased from 0.54 (open-loop) to 0.77 (data
assimilation). We suggest an approach to use analysed surface moisture
estimates to impart mass conservation constraints on related states and
fluxes of the AWRA model in a post-analysis adjustment. The improvements
gained from data assimilation can persist for more than one week in
surface soil moisture estimates and one month in root-zone soil moisture
estimates.