Modeling Soil Organic Carbon Dynamics, Carbon Sequestration, and the
Climate Benefit of Sequestration
Abstract
Mathematical models are essential for integrating different processes
that control rates of soil C dynamics and for assessing C sequestration
and related climate benefits. Many models have been proposed in the
literature to predict C stocks and fluxes, with no overall consensus on
the best model that can provide relevant insights at a large range of
scales and for multiple questions. We reviewed general groups of models
with their expected ranges of application. We also reviewed recent
advances in using models of any level of detail to compute C
sequestration, and the climate benefit of C sequestration. Using
agricultural soils from Sweden and Hawai‘i as examples, we show that new
C inputs to the soil do not remain for long timescales, and only small
proportions are stabilized. Although soils are a promising reservoir to
store C and mediate emissions, long timescales are required to store
amounts of C of relevance to mitigate climate change. The magnitude of
climate benefit to mitigate warming through soil C sequestration is less
than that of avoiding direct emissions, however, remains an important
component of climate change mitigation and adaptation portfolios. Beyond
the direct warming mitigation benefits, improved soil health through
soil organic matter aggradation brings many co-benefits to the
environment and local comunities. Improved production practices and
locally sourced food and energy feedstocks are associated directly with
avoided emissions elsewhere in the food and energy system.