Regional Trends and Physical Controls of Streamflow droughts in Tropical
Pluvial Flow Regimes of India
Abstract
The analysis of drought onset and their potential relationship to
drought severity (deficit volume) are critical for providing timely
information for agricultural operations, such as cultivation planning
and crop productivity monitoring. A coupling between drought timing and
deficit volume can be used as a proxy for drought-related damage
estimation and associated risks. Despite its high importance, so far
little attention was paid to determine the timing of drought and its
linkage with deficit volume for hydrological droughts. This study
utilizes quality-controlled streamflow observations from 1965 to 2018 to
unveil regional patterns of hydrological drought onset, trends in
event-specific deficit volume, and nonlinear relationships between onset
timing and deficit volume across 97 rain-dominated catchments in
Peninsular India (8-24o N, 72-87o
E). Our results show a shift towards earlier hydrological drought onset
in conjunction with a decrease in deficit volume during the Indian
monsoon (June-September) season, which is contrasted by a delayed onset
in the pre-monsoon (March-May) and post-monsoon (October-February)
seasons. Further, approximately one-third of the catchments show a
significant nonlinear dependency between drought deficit volume and
onset time. We find environmental controls, such as soil organic carbon,
vertical distance to channel network, and soil wetness are dominant
factors in influencing droughts. Our analysis provides new insights into
the causal chain and physical processes linking climatic and
physiographic controls on streamflow drought mechanisms, which can
support drought forecasting and climate impact assessment studies.