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Evaluation of High Mountain Asia -Land Data Assimilation System Part I: A hyper-resolution terrestrial modeling system
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  • Yuan Xue,
  • Paul Houser,
  • Viviana Maggioni,
  • Yiwen Mei,
  • Sujay Kumar,
  • Yeosang Yoon
Yuan Xue
George Mason University

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Paul Houser
George Mason University
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Viviana Maggioni
George Mason University
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Yiwen Mei
University of Michigan
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Sujay Kumar
NASA/GSFC
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Yeosang Yoon
NASA/GSFC
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Abstract

This first paper of the two-part series focuses on demonstrating the predictability of a hyper-resolution, offline terrestrial modeling system used for the High Mountain Asia (HMA) region. To this end, this study systematically evaluates four sets of model simulations at point scale, basin scale, and domain scale obtained from different spatial resolutions including 0.01 degree (∼ 1-km) and 0.25 degree (∼ 25-km). The assessment is conducted via comparisons against ground-based observations and satellite-derived reference products. The key variables of interest include surface net shortwave radiation, surface net longwave radiation, skin temperature, near-surface soil temperature, snow depth, snow water equivalent, and total runoff. In the evaluation against ground-based measurements, the superiority of the 0.01 degree estimates are mostly demonstrated across relatively complex terrain. Specifically, hyper-resolution modeling improves the skill in meteorological forcing estimates (except precipitation) by 9% relative to coarse-resolution estimates. The model forced by downscaled forcings in its entirety yields the highest predictability skill in model output states as well as precipitation, which improves the skill obtained by coarse-resolution estimates by 7%. These findings, on one hand, corroborate the importance of employing the hyper-resolution versus coarse-resolution modeling in areas characterized by complex terrain. On the other hand, by evaluating four sets of model simulations forced with different precipitation products, this study emphasizes the importance of accurate hyper-resolution precipitation products to drive model simulations.