Evaluation of High Mountain Asia -Land Data Assimilation System Part I:
A hyper-resolution terrestrial modeling system
Abstract
This first paper of the two-part series focuses on demonstrating the
predictability of a hyper-resolution, offline terrestrial modeling
system used for the High Mountain Asia (HMA) region. To this end, this
study systematically evaluates four sets of model simulations at point
scale, basin scale, and domain scale obtained from different spatial
resolutions including 0.01 degree (∼ 1-km) and 0.25 degree (∼ 25-km).
The assessment is conducted via comparisons against ground-based
observations and satellite-derived reference products. The key variables
of interest include surface net shortwave radiation, surface net
longwave radiation, skin temperature, near-surface soil temperature,
snow depth, snow water equivalent, and total runoff. In the evaluation
against ground-based measurements, the superiority of the 0.01 degree
estimates are mostly demonstrated across relatively complex terrain.
Specifically, hyper-resolution modeling improves the skill in
meteorological forcing estimates (except precipitation) by 9% relative
to coarse-resolution estimates. The model forced by downscaled forcings
in its entirety yields the highest predictability skill in model output
states as well as precipitation, which improves the skill obtained by
coarse-resolution estimates by 7%. These findings, on one hand,
corroborate the importance of employing the hyper-resolution versus
coarse-resolution modeling in areas characterized by complex terrain. On
the other hand, by evaluating four sets of model simulations forced with
different precipitation products, this study emphasizes the importance
of accurate hyper-resolution precipitation products to drive model
simulations.