Sanaz Vajedian

and 3 more

Geodetic analysis of postseismic responses to major earthquakes offers insight into potential subsequent seismic activities and aseismic strain release. Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) provides a particularly high-resolution imaging capability for such transient events, particularly in regions without dense Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) networks. However, InSAR suffers from decorrelation errors and atmospheric noise, which can distort the interpretation of deformation patterns. To take a step towards addressing these challenges, this study introduces an advanced InSAR processing workflow and applies it to Sentinel-1 observations of postseismic deformation following the 2021 Haiti earthquake. We address decorrelation errors by employing phase linking through the Fine Resolution InSAR with Generalized Eigenvectors (FRInGE) method. We compare three methods for mitigating atmospheric effects, including a grouped Independent Component Analysis (ICA) method, and find that ICA performs best in removing atmosphere. Without applying these methods most of the signal is lost or hidden in the noise; after processing transient postseismic deformation, likely related to shallow fault creep, can be observed over ~3 months following the earthquake on the eastern EPGFZ. We compare the estimated cumulative slip to that obtained from ALOS-2 observations and find a good match, with ~3 cm of differential displacement on either side of the EPGFZ east of the rupture area. Our workflow provides a method for more precise characterization of localized transient deformation signals using C-band InSAR.
Continued global warming is expected to result in drying of Central America, with projections suggesting a decrease in precipitation. Poor hindcasting of precipitation, however, due in part to spatial and temporal limitations in instrumental data, subjects these projections to considerable uncertainty. Paleoclimate proxy data are therefore critical for understanding regional climate responses during times of global climate reorganization. Here we present two lake-sediment based records of precipitation variability in Guatemala along with a synthesis of Central American hydroclimate records spanning the last millennium (800-2000 CE). The synthesis reveals that regional climate responses have been strikingly heterogeneous, even over relatively short distances. Our analysis further suggests that shifts in the mean position of the Intertropical Convergence Zone, which have been invoked by numerous studies to explain variability in Central American and circum-Caribbean proxy records, cannot alone explain the observed pattern of hydroclimate variability. Instead, interactions between several ocean-atmosphere processes and their disparate influences across variable topography have resulted in complex precipitation responses. These complexities highlight the difficulty of reconstructing past precipitation changes across Central America and point to the need for additional paleo-record development and analysis before the relationships between external forcing and hydroclimate change can be robustly determined. Such efforts should help anchor model-based predictions of future responses to continued global warming.