While the preindustrial ocean was assumed to be in equilibrium with the atmosphere, the modern ocean is a carbon sink, resulting from natural variability and anthropogenic perturbations, such as fossil fuel emissions and changes in riverine exports over the past two centuries. Here we use a suite of sensitivity experiments based on the ECCO-Darwin global-ocean biogeochemistry model to evaluate the response of air-sea CO2 flux and carbon cycling to present-day lateral fluxes of carbon, nitrogen, and silica. We generate a daily export product by combining point-source freshwater discharge from JRA55-do with the Global NEWS 2 watershed model, accounting for lateral fluxes from 5171 watersheds worldwide. From 2000 to 2019, carbon exports increase CO2 outgassing by 0.22 Pg C yr-1 via the solubility pump, while nitrogen exports increase the ocean sink by 0.17 Pg C yr-1 due to phytoplankton fertilization. On regional scales, exports to the Tropical Atlantic and Arctic Ocean are dominated by organic carbon, which originates from terrestrial vegetation and peats and increases CO2 outgassing (+10 and +20%, respectively). In contrast, Southeast Asia is dominated by nitrogen from anthropogenic sources, such as agriculture and pollution, leading to increased CO2 uptake (+7%). Our results demonstrate that the magnitude and composition of riverine exports, which are determined in part from upstream watersheds and anthropogenic perturbations, substantially impact present-day regional-to-global-ocean carbon cycling. Ultimately, this work stresses that lateral fluxes must be included in ocean biogeochemistry and Earth System Models to better constrain the transport of carbon, nutrients, and metals across the land-ocean-aquatic-continuum.

Remote sensing has been widely applied to investigate fluvial processes, but depth retrievals face significant constraints in deep and turbid conditions. This study evaluates the potential for depth retrievals under such challenging conditions using NASA’s Airborne Visible/Infrared Imaging Spectrometer-Next Generation (AVIRIS-NG) imagery. We employ interpretable machine learning to construct a hyperspectral regressor for water depth and explore the spectral characteristics of deep and turbid waters in Wax Lake Delta (WLD), LA. The reflectance spectra of WLD show minor effects from depth differences due to turbidity. Nevertheless, a Random Forest with Recursive Feature Elimination (RF-RFE) effectively generalizes high and low turbid cases in a single model, achieving a R² of 0.94 ± 0.005. Moreover, this model shows a maximum detectable depth of approximately 30 m, outperforming other methods. A spectral analysis using Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) points out the importance of learning various spectral bands and non-linear relationships between depth and reflectance. Specifically, the short blue and Near-InfraRed (NIR) bands, with high attenuation coefficients, play a crucial role. This finding highlights the attenuation as the key process for deep-depth retrievals. The depth maps of WLD captured by this model distinctly represent the spatial distribution of deep river and shallow delta regions. However, the high dependency on short blue and NIR bands leads to discontinuous areas due to the noise sensitivity of these bands. This result highlights a drawback of remote sensing using empirical models. Future research will focus on correcting such discontinuities by integrating data from multiple remote sensing sources.

The forthcoming Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) satellite and AirSWOT airborne instrument are the first imaging radar-altimeters designed with near-nadir, 35.75 GHz Ka-band InSAR for mapping terrestrial water storage variability. Remotely sensed surface water extents are crucial for assessing such variability, but are confounded by emergent and inundated vegetation along shorelines. However, because SWOT-like measurements are novel, there remains some uncertainty in the ability to detect certain land and water classes. We study the likelihood of misclassification between 15 land cover types and develop the Ka-band Phenomenology Scattering (KaPS) scattering model to simulate changes to radar backscatter as a result of changing surface water fraction and roughness. Using a separability metric, we find that water is five times more distinct compared with dry land classes, but has the potential to be confused with littoral zone and wet soil cover types. The KaPS scattering model simulates AirSWOT backscatter for incidence angles 1-27°, identifying the conditions under which open water is likely to be confused with littoral zone and wet soil cover types. A comparison of KaPS simulated backscatter with AirSWOT observed backscatter shows good overall agreement across the 15 classes (median r2=0.76). KaPS characterization of the sensitivity of near-nadir, Ka-band SAR to small changes in both wet area fraction and surface roughness enables more nuanced classification of inundation area. These results provide additional confidence in the ability of SWOT to classify water inundation extent, and open the door for novel hydrological and ecological applications of future Ka-band SAR missions.

In 2015 and 2016, the AfriSAR campaign was carried out as a collaborative effort among international space and National Park agencies (ESA, NASA, ONERA, DLR, ANPN and AGEOS) in support of the upcoming ESA BIOMASS, NASA-ISRO Synthetic Aperture Radar (NISAR) and NASA Global Ecosystem Dynamics Initiative (GEDI) missions. The NASA contribution to the campaign was conducted in 2016 with the NASA LVIS (Land Vegetation and Ice Sensor) Lidar, the NASA L-band UAVSAR (Uninhabited Aerial Vehicle Synthetic Aperture Radar). A central motivation for the AfriSAR deployment was the common AGBD estimation requirement for the three future spaceborne missions, the lack of sufficient airborne and ground calibration data covering the full range of ABGD in tropical forest systems, and the intercomparison and fusion of the technologies. During the campaign, over 7000 km2 of waveform Lidar data from LVIS and 30000 km2 of UAVSAR data were collected over 10 key sites and transects. In addition, field measurements of forest structure and biomass were collected in sixteen 1 hectare sized plots. The campaign produced gridded Lidar canopy structure products, gridded aboveground biomass and associated uncertainties, Lidar based vegetation canopy cover profile products, Polarimetric Interferometric SAR and Tomographic SAR products and field measurements. Our results showcase the types of data products and scientific results expected from the spaceborne Lidar and SAR missions; we also expect that the AfriSAR campaign data will facilitate further analysis and use of waveform Lidar and multiple baseline polarimetric SAR datasets for carbon cycle, biodiversity, water resources and more applications by the greater scientific community.

In response to a growing number of natural and anthropogenic threats, the long-term sustainability of coastal river deltas and wetlands has come into question worldwide. Tools such as remote sensing and numerical modeling have been implemented in an effort to monitor and predict the hydro-geomorphological evolution of our coasts. Hydrological connectivity is known to play an important role in deltaic evolution by delivering flow, sediment, and nutrients to the interior of deltaic islands/wetlands. However, estimating connectivity typically requires detailed field work or numerical modeling, which is difficult to implement over broad spatial and temporal scales. In the present work, we investigate the potential of using remote sensing to estimate hydrological connectivity in the Wax Lake Delta (WLD) and Atchafalaya Delta region of the Louisiana coast. During a three-hour window, five difference maps of water level in the WLD and surrounding wetlands were collected using UAVSAR L-band radar in repeat-pass interferometric mode. We then modeled the WLD subsection of the domain using a 2D shallow-water hydrodynamic model configured to run on the same discharge, tide, and wind conditions as recorded at nearby monitoring stations during the observational window, with vegetation parameterized as a source of additional drag in the deltaic islands. Modeling allowed us to determine the relative influence of tides, vegetation, and wind on WLD water levels, which could then be extrapolated to infer the behavior throughout the rest of the domain. Over the observational window, UAVSAR measured a cumulative loss of over 22 megatons of water from non-channelized wetlands as tides fell. We find that the model tends to under-predict the observed water level draw-down, as well as the degree of hydrological activity in proximal islands that we observe in the UAVSAR data. Models that neglect the influence of wind underestimate the volume of water leaving the islands by up to two-thirds, suggesting the importance of wind on deltaic hydrodynamics during the observational window. With the information gained from the numerical modeling, as well as the computation of information theory statistics, we extend the WLD results to analyze and quantify the water level behavior in the surrounding wetlands and Atchafalaya delta.

Surface water occurrence in river deltas is governed by precipitation, evaporation, and the influx and outflux of water to and from the delta. Although studies of changes in water occurrence have been conducted at large scales, precise detection of changes in water occurrence is missing for most important river deltas. We take the case of the endorheic Selenga River Delta in Russia and train an accurate classification and quantification of water occurrence in its domain. We utilize remotely sensed observations of the Landsat satellite imagery during the last 33 years and implement supervised classification to map the surface water extent and its changes between periods of 1987-2002 and 2003-2019. We find that water occurrence has decreased in the Delta, with seasonally inundated areas presenting more pronounced decreases in water occurrence than permanent water bodies. We show that the change in the surface runoff is the main driver of changes in the spatial patterns of surface water with R2 = 0.58, while changes in water level in the recipient Lake Baikal do not influence water occurrence in the Delta. Our results show that the shrinkage and expansion of the water surface reflect the change in the freshwater supply of the Delta, and the management of the Selenga River needs to consider the impact of changes on the water occurrence.

Coastal wetlands provide a wealth of ecosystem services, including improved water quality, protection from storm surges, and wildlife habitat. Louisiana’s wetlands, however, are threatened by development, pollution, and relative sea level rise (RSLR)—the combination of sea level rise and subsidence rates. Despite widespread wetland loss, areas such as the Wax Lake and Atchafalaya river deltas are in fact growing due to their sediment loads, resulting in a complex of both degradation and aggradation along the Louisiana coast. In order to understand and model how coastal wetlands are responding to RSLR, there is a need for improved vegetation mapping, biomass estimation, and landscape-scale study of accretionary processes. AVIRIS-NG offers high spatial and spectral resolution data that can be integrated with external datasets—including from in situ measurements, monitoring stations, and other remote sensing platforms—to study these distributions and processes. Spectra derived from AVIRIS-NG imagery were used to parameterize Multiple Endmember Spectral Mixture Analysis (MESMA) for mapping vegetation functional types in addition to partial least squares regression (PLSR) models for plant aboveground biomass (AGB). The historical Landsat record complemented this analysis by deriving maps of change in wetland health and sediment availability through time. Each of these remotely sensed parameters were investigated to determine their combined relationship to Louisiana’s coastal accretion rates. In quantifying landscape-scale processes that impact wetland accretion, this research aids the assessment of coastal resiliency in the face of sea level rise. Further, the investigated imaging spectroscopy methods pertaining to vegetation mapping, biomass estimation, and accretionary modeling will inform future studies under the global Surface Biology and Geology mission.

Satellite observations of coastal Louisiana indicate an overall land loss over recent decades, which could be attributed to climate- and human-induced factors, including sea level rise (SLR). Climate-induced hydrological change (CHC) has impacted the way flood control structures are used, altering the spatiotemporal water distribution. Based on “what-if” scenarios, we determine relative impacts of SLR and CHC on increased flood risk over southern Louisiana and examine the role of water management via flood control structures in mitigating flood risk over the region. Our findings show that CHC has increased flood risk over the past 28 years. The number of affected people increases as extreme hydrological events become more exceptional. Water management reduces flood risk to urban areas and croplands, especially during exceptional hydrological events. For example, currently (i.e., 2016-2020 period), CHC-induced flooding puts an additional 73km2 of cropland under flood risk at least half of the time (median flood event) and 65km2 once a year (annual flood event), when compared to a past period (1993-1997). A ten- to twenty-fold increase relative to SLR-induced flooding. CHC also increases population vulnerability in southern Louisiana to flooding; additional 9900 residents currently live under flood risk at least half of the time, and that number increases to 27,400 for annual flood events. Residents vulnerable to SLR-induced flooding is lower (6000 and 3300 residents, respectively). Conclusions are that CHC is a major factor that should be accounted for flood resilience and that water management interventions can mitigate risks to human life and activities.