Abstract
Stratospheric volcanic aerosol can have major impacts on global climate.
Despite a consensus among studies on an El Niño–like response in the
first or second post-eruption year, the mechanisms that trigger a change
in the state of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) following volcanic
eruptions are still debated. Here, we shed light on the processes that
govern the ENSO response to tropical volcanic eruptions through a series
of sensitivity experiments with an Earth System Model where a uniform
stratospheric volcanic aerosol loading is imposed over different parts
of the tropics. Three tropical mechanisms are tested: the “ocean
dynamical thermostat” (ODT); the cooling of the Maritime Continent; and
the cooling of tropical northern Africa (NAFR). We find that the NAFR
mechanism plays the largest role, while the ODT mechanism is absent in
our simulations as La Niña-like rather than El-Niño-like conditions
develop following a uniform radiative forcing over the equatorial
Pacific.