Demographic effects of seedling reintroduction on the viability of a
vulnerable columnar cactus of the Chihuahuan Desert
Abstract
Reintroduction is a crucial step in the conservation efforts aiming to
restore ecosystems and protect threatened species. However, studies that
incorporate and evaluate the effect of plant reintroduction are scarce.
A study on a population of Cephalocereus polylophus, a vulnerable
cactus endemic to the southern Chihuahuan Desert, allowed us to evaluate
the effect of seedling reintroduction on the viability of this
population. An integral projection model was used on a 5-year dataset to
forecast population size over a century, and to simulate scenarios of
seedling survival and protection. The study revealed an asymptotic
population growth rate (λ) of 0.97 (95% CI = 0.96 – 0.99). Simulating
the seedling survival and an increase in the seedling bank translated
into a λ that showed only a slight increase, but remained below one,
mainly because the recruitment and survival of small individuals were
insufficient to compensate for the population decline. Protecting
seedlings against herbivores and increasing their survival to 96.5%
resulted in a larger population size (~ 5% average
increase) and delayed extinction, in comparison with a no intervention
and 60% survival rate scenario. This demonstrates that increasing
seedling survival rates through protection and reintroduction efforts
can only be conceived as a complementary conservation strategy to those
focused on preserving existing individuals. Effective reintroduction
strategies can help delay the extinction of the population of this
cactus, but the conservation of the current population and its habitat
is pivotal for its future survival.