Estimates of the Global Clear-Sky Radiative Feedback Strength from
Reanalysis Data
Abstract
We use atmospheric profiles from ERA5, JRA55 and MERRA2 between 1993 and
2023 to estimate Earth’s global clear-sky longwave feedback strength on
the seasonal and interannual timescale. Differences in the relationship
of relative humidity with skin temperature prior to 2008 lead to
interannual feedback strengths between 1.34 W m−2 K−1 (JRA55) and 1.89 W
m−2 K−1 (MERRA2). Restricting the analysis to the last 16 years yields
more consistent interannual estimates of 2.05 W m−2 K−1 on average,
which is larger than the overall seasonal estimate of 1.91 W m−2 K−1.
The mid-tropospheric drying causing this difference suggest a
substantial influence of ENSO variability on the interannual timescale.
This indicates a long-term feedback strength smaller than 2.0 W m−2 K−1,
which is already at the lower end of previous estimates; emphasizing the
importance of accurate long-term RH measurements to reliably project
Earth’s clear-sky feedback strength