Abstract
Moisture transport within atmospheric rivers is driven by a complex
combination of processes, including convergence of moisture from
different origins which change over the atmospheric river’s life cycle.
The water vapor budget within an atmospheric river enables us to
understand moisture sources and sinks (horizontal flux, evaporation and
precipitation). Here, we focused on the water vapor budget of the
exceptional atmospheric river associated with the storm Dennis that led
to record-breaking precipitation on February 15th 2020. We used the WRF
model to simulate the event and applied our new water vapor budget
approach to the tracked atmospheric river. We also performed two sets of
sensitivity experiments: one reducing the tropical moisture, and the
other modifying the ocean evaporation to assess how these two main
moisture sources affect the water vapor balance within the atmospheric
river. We also study changes in the atmospheric river, cyclone and
associated precipitation at landfall in the sensitivity experiments. For
Dennis, tropical moisture played a prominent role in the early stages of
the atmospheric river, while ocean evaporation became critical later.
Additionally, the reduction of evaporation and also of tropical moisture
is related to a decrease in precipitation over Europe. This study offers
a new approach to understanding the evolution of atmospheric rivers and
highlights the importance of different moisture processes. It provides a
case study that helps to unravel feedback mechanisms and the impact of
different perturbations on the water vapor balance of atmospheric
rivers.