Deep mantle to atmosphere: Understanding the role of vanished
intra-oceanic subduction zones on paleoclimate since 200 Ma
Abstract
The role of plate tectonics in the deep carbon cycle is crucial for
understanding Earth’s climate, planetary life, and atmospheric CO2 over
geological time; however, knowledge of carbon sources and sinks is
dependent on reconstructed plate tectonic histories. Intra-oceanic
subduction (i.e. subduction of an oceanic plate beneath another oceanic
plate) is a recognized knowledge gap in plate tectonic reconstructions,
especially within Pacific-Panthalassa, because continuous recycling of
oceanic plates into the mantle leaves fewer geological traces. We
examine the role of unassessed intra-oceanic subduction on paleoclimate
reconstructions since the Mesozoic. We compare two global plate
reconstructions: ”Tomopac” version 1, which integrates tomography and
other constraints to enhance intra-oceanic subduction histories within
Pacific-Panthalassa; and a widely-used model that implements less
intra-oceanic subduction (Matthews et al., 2016). We model global
seafloor ages, estimate total and areal subducted carbon since 200 Ma,
and input subduction histories into the COPSE biogeochemical model
(Lenton et al., 2021) to compare predicted global atmospheric CO2 and
mean surface temperature histories. Tomopac with more intra-oceanic
subduction shows a ~5% increase in global subduction zone
lengths but a ~8% decrease in global subducted area and
slab flux since 200 Myr. Overall, contrasted intra-oceanic subduction
histories since 200 Ma alter estimates of subducted carbon by
~15-20%. Incorporating previously unassessed
intra-oceanic subduction from Tomopac in COPSE reduces global mean
surface temperatures up to 2°C and reduces atmospheric CO2 up to 300 ppm
from 200 Ma to present, highlighting the importance of recognizing
intra-oceanic subduction in modulating Earth’s long-term paleoclimate.