Abstract
The Arctic Ocean has been covered by sea ice year-round for much of the
past, inhibiting the transfer of momentum from atmosphere to ocean, with
the consequence that Arctic Ocean currents are generally slow and
turbulent mixing weak. However, recent decades have seen accelerated
lower tropospheric warming accompanied by declines in sea ice
concentration, thickness and extent, and more recently, changes in the
ocean, termed ”atlantification”, are beginning to be observed. Against
this background, here we explore the nature of the Arctic Ocean ”double
estuary”, whereby (mainly) inflowing Atlantic-sourced waters are
transformed into both lighter and denser components in a two-cell
density-overturning circulation. The double estuary is quantified using
measurements, and a box model is employed to determine the relative
significance of surface forcing versus turbulent mixing to water mass
transformation. We generate a net Arctic Ocean profile of turbulent
diffusivity that is used to test the likely contribution of tides to
mixing, and we find that the outcome is most sensitive to mixing
efficiency. We note that Arctic Ocean dense water formation adds to the
recognised sites of dense water formation in the Nordic Seas and
northern North Atlantic. Finally, we discuss how mixing rates may change
in future as sea ice declines and the efficiency of atmosphere-to-ocean
momentum transfer increases, leading to ocean ”spin-up” and more intense
turbulent mixing, and the possible consequences thereof.