Hemispheric asymmetry in stratospheric trends of HCl and ozone: Impact
of chemical feedback on ozone recovery
Abstract
We use trace gas profiles from Atmospheric Chemistry Experiment -
Fourier Transform Spectrometer (ACE-FTS) satellite measurements and the
TOMCAT three-dimensional chemical transport model to diagnose
stratospheric trends in O3, HCl and N2O. We find that the 2004-2021
ACE-FTS trends exhibit a clear lower stratosphere (LS) interhemispheric
asymmetry with positive (negative) O3 and N2O (HCl) trends in the
Southern Hemisphere (SH), and trends of opposite sign in the Northern
Hemisphere (NH). The trends are larger for the shorter time period of
2004-2018. TOMCAT qualitatively agrees with the ACE-FTS LS N2O and HCl
trends, confirming that transport variability drives such patterns,
despite some discrepancies for O3. An additional model simulation is
used to quantify the sensitivity of O3 to long-term changes in chlorine
and bromine and thus determine the chemical contribution of the
spatially varying halogen trends to both observed and modelled O3
trends. Overall, the recent dynamically induced variation in
mid-latitude LS halogen abundance has, through chemical feedback,
accentuated the O3 recovery signal in the SH and delayed it in the NH,
reflecting the enhanced dynamical variability of the NH. These results
further indicate the complexities that exist in the search for the
signal of ozone recovery in the mid-latitude lower stratosphere.