Abstract
The latitudinal range of modern shallow-water tropical corals is
controlled by temperature, and presently limited to waters warmer than
16-18 °C year-round. However, even during Cenozoic climates with such
temperatures in polar regions, coral reefs are not found beyond
>50° latitude. Here, we test the hypothesis that daily
available solar radiation limited poleward expansion of coral reefs
during warm climates, using a new box model of shallow marine coral
calcification. Our results show that calcification rates start to
decline beyond 40° latitude and drop severely beyond 50° latitude, due
to decreasing winter light intensity and day length, irrespective of
aragonite saturation. This suggests that light ultimately prohibits
further poleward expansion in warm climates. In addition, fossil coral
reef distribution is not a robust proxy for water temperatures and
poleward expansion of reefs beyond 50° latitude is not an expected
carbon cycle feedback of climate warming.