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Unclouding the Correlations: A Principal Component Analysis of Convective Environments
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  • Richard Schulte,
  • Randy J Chase,
  • Brenda Dolan,
  • Peter James Marinescu,
  • Derek J. Posselt,
  • Kristen L Rasmussen,
  • Susan C van den Heever
Richard Schulte
Colorado State University

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

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Randy J Chase
Colorado State University
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Brenda Dolan
Colorado State University
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Peter James Marinescu
Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere / Colorado State University
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Derek J. Posselt
Jet Propulsion Laboratory
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Kristen L Rasmussen
Colorado State University
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Susan C van den Heever
Colorado State University
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Abstract

There are many unknowns surrounding why convective storms occur exactly when and where they do, including environmental impacts on storm morphology and processes. In this study, we leverage 25 years of observations from spaceborne radars, along with coincident reanalysis data, to determine how the depth and width of precipitating convective storms are related to the large-scale environments in which they are observed. We find that the deepest convective features are observed in environments markedly different from the environments of the widest convective features. We identify eight large-scale environmental variables that serve to distinguish between storm modes, and then show that principal component analysis can be used to condense this information into just two scalar variables. The methodology presented offers a succinct way to describe a storm's environment and will allow us to better relate a storm's initial environment to its dynamical characteristics.
02 Aug 2024Submitted to ESS Open Archive
04 Aug 2024Published in ESS Open Archive