loading page

Climatological Adaptive Bias Correction of Climate Models
  • John F Scinocca,
  • Viatchelsav V. Kharin
John F Scinocca
Canadian Center for Climate Modelling and Analysis

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

Author Profile
Viatchelsav V. Kharin
Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis
Author Profile

Abstract

All Earth System Models (ESMs) have climatological biases relative to the observed historical climate. The quality of a model and, more importantly, the accuracy of its predictions are often associated with the magnitude and properties of its biases. For more than a decade, new strategies have been developed to empirically reduce such biases in the model components of ESMs during their execution. The present study considers a cyclostationary class of empirical runtime bias corrections to a climate model, referred to here as ERBCs. Such ERBCs are state independent and designed to reduce biases in the climatological annual cycle of the model. We present a new procedure for deriving such ERBCs called Climatological Adaptive Bias Correction (CABCOR). CABCOR is argued to be superior to the standard relaxation approach to defining ERBCs because it requires only a climatological, rather than a multi-year time evolving, observational reference dataset. Additionally, it is demonstrated that the CABCOR approach can produce bias-corrected models with smaller climatological biases than the relaxation approach. This is determined by performing a systematic analysis of the biases produced by ERBCs derived with each approach.
16 Jul 2024Submitted to ESS Open Archive
17 Jul 2024Published in ESS Open Archive