The Role of Leaf Area Changes within Plant CO2 Physiological Impacts on
the Hydrological Cycle: A Comparison between CESM1 and CESM2
Abstract
Atmospheric CO2 concentrations are expected to continue increasing due
to ongoing fossil fuel emissions, leading to innumerable climate
impacts. These impacts are largely associated with the enhanced
greenhouse effect, but recent work highlights that plant CO2
physiological responses can also strongly influence the climate. This
study explores the impacts of plant responses on hydrological cycling at
2x preindustrial CO2 concentrations by analyzing simulations that
separate plant physiology from climate responses to CO2 using the
Community Earth System Model (CESM) versions 1 and 2. We find that CESM2
leaf area growth increases canopy evaporation, which offsets
transpiration declines from reduced stomatal conductance, and dampens
changes in precipitation, evapotranspiration, and runoff compared to
CESM1 and a configuration of CESM2 with fixed leaf area. CESM2 better
captures present-day leaf area magnitudes compared to observations but
potentially over-estimates leaf area-CO2 sensitivity, highlighting the
ongoing need to reduce plant allocation-related biases.