Abstract
Precipitation efficiency (PE) relates cloud condensation to
precipitation and thus reflects how much of the total atmospheric
condensate reaches the surface as precipitation. Because the PE in
convective storms is directly linked to their updraft- and downdraft
dynamics, it is a helpful metric to identify convective processes that
influence precipitation. However, km-scale model simulations do not
properly resolve convective processes such as individual updrafts and
entrainment, which raises the question if such simulations can
accurately represent PE. Here, we present two methods to derive PE from
standard model output. The first method estimates PE from the state
variables vertical velocity, temperature and pressure, whereas the
second method estimates PE from ice water path (IWP) and precipitation.
We validate the proposed methods with the explicitly calculated PE using
a set of idealized Weather Research and Forecast model simulations of
organized midlatitude convective storms at different horizontal grid
spacings. We show that PE can be reliably estimated from state variables
with an error of less than 5%, partly due to error cancellation
effects. Additionally, PE can be simulated by km-scale models within
~15% accuracy compared to large-eddy simulations (LESs).
The IWP-method is slightly less accurate with a stronger grid spacing
dependency of the error, but since it is based on observable quantities,
it allows for a validation of simulated PE with satellite observations.
Finally, we analyze the grid spacing dependency of the climate change
signal of PE and find that future decreases in PE in LESs are robustly
captured by km-scale models.