Quantifying Methane Fluxes from Super-Emitting Orphan Wells to Report
Carbon Credits and Prioritize Remediation
Abstract
Annually, ~ 3.6 million abandoned oil and gas wells in
the U.S. emit a combined ~ 3.2 Tg methane (CH4),
adversely affecting climate and regional air quality. However, these
estimates depend on emission factors derived from inventorying
sub-populations of wells, but which vary by orders of magnitude due to
inadequate sampling numbers. This problem is exacerbated by regional
differences requiring independent emission inventories and the recent
identification of poorly characterized super-emitters that skew the
distribution. Currently, U.S. funding to remediate orphaned wells lacks
standardized quantification methods needed to both prioritize plugging
and account for emission reductions. Sensitive, reliable, affordable,
and scalable CH4 flux quantification methods are needed. We evaluate a
simple Gaussian plume method constrained by in situ ground measurements
of CH4 concentrations and winds to estimate the leak rate from an orphan
well in the Permian basin. We derive a flux of 10.53 ± 1.16 kg CH4 h-1
during a venting procedure that agrees with the directly measured
volumetric flow rate of 9.0 ± 0.25 kg CH4 h-1. This is 71% greater than
the flux measured 7-months prior which induces a bias between bottom-up
and top-down estimates. Additionally, we discovered a secondary leak
through the surface-casing inferred as 0.43-0.67 kg CH4 h-1 by both our
ground Gaussian analysis and by transecting the plume with an uncrewed
aerial system (UAS). Our technique addresses operational needs by
reducing sampling time of leak detection and quantification and good
sensitivity to characterize wells emitting below the detection limit of
satellites.