Observed long-term changes in extreme temperature and precipitation
indices in Spain (1951-2020)
Abstract
Climate extreme indices —-encompassing absolute values,
percentile-based, and spell indices—- are analyzed over Spain during
1951-2020 using daily precipitation (PR), maximum and minimum
temperatures (TX and TN) from the AEMET high-resolution dataset. The
indices focus on the frequency, intensity, and duration of extremes.
A general warming trend is detected in absolute values and in a longer
persistence of warm spells. While the changes are clearer in TN- than in
TX-based frequency indices, their sign and magnitude depend on the
season and percentile. The upward (downward) trends in warm (cold)
nights are usually larger than in warm (cold) days. A drying signal is
detected on total precipitation and spell-indices in central and
southern Spain during summertime. Isolated extremes increase during
autumn, indicating a possible modification of precipitation regimes.
This work contributes to disentangling the spatio-temporal variability
and recent trends of extremes in Spain, with tailored climate
information for adaptation measures.