Remote Detection Method for Electricity Theft Based on Dynamic
Correlation Factor and Optimized Kronecker Translation
Abstract
Electricity thieves show new characteristics such as stealing only part
of electricity and intermittent occurrence, becoming harder to detect.
This paper proposes a remote detection method for electricity theft
based on dynamic correlation factor and optimized shift-splitting
iteration method. Firstly, through mathematical analysis and
verification of the electricity theft mechanism, we found an
intermittent and nonlinear positive correlation between the line loss
rate and electricity thieves’ electricity consumption proportion. Based
on this characteristic, the dynamic correlation factor is used to
identify suspected electricity thieves. Secondly, a low-dimensional
model is established according to the generalized conservation of
electricity, and the optimized shift-splitting iteration method is used
to solve the ill-conditioned model, realizing accurate identification of
electricity thieves. Through two-step identification and calculation,
the algorithm addresses the problem that the intermittency of
electricity theft, disturbance under complex scenes and the error of
parameters estimation can lead to decrease of accuracy and increase of
missed detection rate. Case studies in distribution areas of a province
in China show that the proposed method is reliable, and has higher
accuracy (over 90%) and lower missed detection rate (below 10%) than
previous algorithms, especially in large distribution areas with complex
scenes.