West African Monsoon dynamics and its control on stable oxygen isotopic
composition of precipitation in the Late Cenozoic
Abstract
This study presents an overview of the Late Cenozoic evolution of the
West African Monsoon (WAM), and the associated changes in atmospheric
dynamics and oxygen isotopic composition of precipitation (δ18Op). This
evolution is established by using the high-resolution isotope-enabled
GCM ECHAM5-wiso to simulate the climatic responses to paleoenvironmental
changes during the Mid-Holocene (MH), Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), and
Mid-Pliocene (MP). The simulated responses are compared to a set of GCM
outputs from Paleoclimate Model Intercomparison Project phase 4 (PMIP4)
to assess the added value of a high resolution and model consistency
across different time periods. Results show WAM magnitudes and pattern
changes that are consistent with PMIP4 models and proxy reconstructions.
ECHAM5-wiso estimates the highest WAM intensification in the MH, with a
precipitation increase of up to 150 mm/month reaching 25°N during the
monsoon season. The WAM intensification in the MP estimated by
ECHAM5-wiso (up to 80 mm/month) aligns with the mid-range of the PMIP4
estimates, while the LGM dryness magnitude matches most of the models.
Despite an enhanced hydrological cycle in MP, MH simulations indicate a
~50% precipitation increase and a greater northward
extent of WAM than the MP simulations. Strengthened conditions of the
WAM in the MH and MP result from a pronounced meridional temperature
gradient driving low-level westerly, Sahel-Sahara vegetation expansion,
and a northward shift of the Africa Easterly Jet. The simulated δ18Op
values patterns and their relationship with temperature and
precipitation are non-stationarity over time, emphasising the
implications of assuming stationarity in proxy reconstruction transfer
functions.