Spatial Heterogeneity of the Respiratory Health Impacts of Wildfire
Smoke PM2.5 in California
Abstract
Wildfire smoke fine particles (PM2.5) are a growing public health threat
as wildfire events become more common and intense under climate change,
especially in the Western United States. Studies assessing the
association between wildfire PM2.5 exposure and health typically
summarize the effects over the study area. However, health responses to
wildfire PM2.5 may vary spatially. We evaluated spatially-varying
respiratory acute care utilization risks associated with short-term
exposure to wildfire PM2.5 and explored community characteristics
possibly driving spatial heterogeneity. Using ensemble-modelled daily
wildfire PM2.5, we defined a wildfire smoke day to have
wildfire-specific PM2.5 concentration ≥15 µg/m3. We included daily
respiratory emergency department visits and unplanned hospitalizations
in 1,396 California ZIP Code Tabulation Areas (ZCTAs) and 15
census-derived community characteristics. Employing a case-crossover
design and conditional logistic regression, we observed increased odds
of respiratory acute care utilization on wildfire smoke days at the
state level (odds ratio [OR] = 1.06, 95% confidence interval
[CI]: 1.05, 1.07). Across air basins, ORs ranged from 0.88 to 1.57,
with the highest effect estimate in San Diego. A within-community
matching design and spatial Bayesian hierarchical model also revealed
spatial heterogeneity in ZCTA-level rate differences. For example,
communities with a higher percentage of non-Hispanic Black or Pacific
Islander residents had stronger wildfire PM2.5-outcome relationships,
while more air conditioning and tree canopy attenuated associations. We
found an important heterogeneity in wildfire smoke-related health
impacts across air basins, counties, and ZCTAs, and we identified
characteristics of vulnerable communities, providing evidence to guide
policy development and resource allocation.