Memory-based deep learning integrating multi-source satellite data leads
to improved estimation of net ecosystem CO2 exchange over North America
Abstract
Accurate estimation of regional-scale terrestrial carbon budgets is of
great importance but remains challenging. With particular advantages,
the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks method show potential in
improving regional carbon budget upscaling estimations. Here, based on
LSTM, we upscale regional net ecosystem carbon exchange (NEE) with
available flux tower measurements and satellite land surface
observations in North America. With well-established ecosystem-specific
LSTMs, we produced monthly NEE at a spatial resolution of 0.1°×0.1° over
2001–2021 (labeled as CROSS2023). Our estimate pointed the largest
carbon sink to the Midwest Corn-Belt area during peak growing seasons
and to the Southeast on an annual basis, agreeing with empirical
knowledges. Moreover, the estimated seasonal variations of NEE by
CROSS2023 coincided well with those by atmospheric inversions, i.e., the
ensemble mean of Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 Model Intercomparison
Project (OCO-2 v10 MIP; r = 0.95, p < 0.001) and
CarbonTracker2022 (CT2022) (r = 0.97, p < 0.001). The mean
annual NEE was estimated at -1.27 ± 0.12 Pg C yr-1, aligning more
closely with the inversions (-0.70 to -0.63 Pg C yr-1) than with
existing upscaling estimates (-3.30 to -1.81 Pg C yr-1). In addition,
our estimate plausibly captured the NEE spatial anomalies caused by all
the recent extreme drought and flood events. We further confirmed that
considering memory effects was critical for better indicating
interannual variability and spatial anomalies of NEE induced by climate
extremes. This study provides an improved bottom-up estimation of North
American NEE, largely narrowing the gap with top-down inversions.