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A NASA GISTEMPv4 Observational Uncertainty Ensemble
  • +3
  • Nathan Lenssen,
  • Gavin A Schmidt,
  • Michael Hendrickson,
  • Peter Jacobs,
  • Matthew J Menne,
  • Reto Ruedy
Nathan Lenssen
Dept. of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Columbia University, Dept. of Applied Mathematics and Statistics, Colorado School of Mines

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

Author Profile
Gavin A Schmidt
NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies
Michael Hendrickson
NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, Autonomic Integra LLC
Peter Jacobs
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center
Matthew J Menne
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information
Reto Ruedy
NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, Autonomic Integra LLC

Abstract

• A 200-member ensemble has been created to quantify uncertainty in the GISTEMP history of surface temperature anomalies. • This ensemble enables more accurate statistical analyses of key global change metrics. • The median ensemble estimate agrees well with the operational GISTEMP analysis and other global products
14 Jun 2024Submitted to ESS Open Archive
21 Jun 2024Published in ESS Open Archive