The location of large-scale soil moisture anomalies affects moisture
transport and precipitation over southeastern South America
Abstract
Southeastern South America (SESA) is a highly productive agricultural
region and a hot spot for land-atmosphere interactions. To evaluate the
impact of dry soil moisture anomalies (SMAs) on SESA climate and the
sensitivity of the regional climate response to the location of SMAs, we
perform three experimental simulations using the Community Earth System
Model (CESM) with prescribed dry SMAs over (1) SESA, (2) western SESA,
and (3) eastern SESA. The dry eastern SESA simulation shows widespread
negative precipitation anomalies. In contrast, the dry western SESA
simulation shows positive precipitation anomalies over northeastern
Argentina, which are associated with the enhanced southward moisture
flux co-located with the South American low-level jet exit region. A
composite analysis of extremely dry cases over western SESA using
reanalysis data agrees with the findings from our CESM experiment. These
findings have potential implications for subseasonal forecasting in this
region.